Wednesday, November 2, 2016

Less than 1 week to the Apocalypse

Unbelievably, the possibility that Trump wins the election has still not disappeared.  The suspiciously timed release of more Clinton e-mails and notice of further investigation does not do her any favors, and has conveniently taken all the coverage away from some of the outrageous statements and claims still being made by Trump.  I’m worried.  It’s a very similar situation to Brexit, where I think the people who will definitely vote (predominantly older and white) are the ones who will vote for Trump, whereas the apathetic people (younger, culturally diverse) are the ones who will vote for Clinton.  I can easily see a scenario where turnout is lower than expected, and so somehow Trump scrapes home.  I hope not, but it is a very real possibility.  And obviously he has been sowing all the seeds for not accepting the result, so this could get very messy.  Apparently, Washington State has a 98% chance of voting for Clinton – so not exactly a battleground state here!  As with all presidential elections, it seems that certain swing states will decide the election – so the future of the US is in the hands of people from places like Florida and Nevada.  That’s a scary thought.  Of course, it’s not just about the presidency – I think the Senate race is a lot closer, with the Democrats having a chance of winning back the Senate.  All of this makes the next few weeks very interesting, with the future of the country and/or another 4 years of political gridlock at stake.  Regardless of the results, this election year has been a disgrace and an embarrassment for American politics that I think everyone will be glad to move on from.  But I suspect we won’t be able to, with Republicans probably digging their feet in with regards things like nominating a Supreme Court justice.  I don’t think Hillary’s presidency is going to be smooth sailing to say the least.  I can’t even fathom how awful Trump’s presidency could be.  This is going to be a tense last week of campaigning.

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